← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Jan 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Le Mans FC win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Le Mans FC +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Youssef Maziz · Le Mans FC |
| 38' | 🟨 | Serge N'Guessan · Nancy |
| 57' | ⚽ | Saliou Ciss · Nancy |
| 59' | 🟨 | Saliou Ciss · Nancy |
| 60' | 🟨 | Yanis Merdji · Le Mans FC |
| 81' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Kanté · Le Mans FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Mans FC | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | MMArena (Le Mans) |
| coach days | 3866.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1368.13 | 1485.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.69 | -0.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.81 |
| league points | 20.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.18 | 28.08 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |