← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Jan 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Chambly Thelle FC win | 30% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Chambly Thelle FC +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Steeve Yago · Caen |
| 30' | 🟨 | Bastian Badu · Chambly Thelle FC |
| 47' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jonathan Rivierez · Caen |
| 73' | ⚽ | Caleb Zady Sery · Caen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rémy Riou · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chambly Thelle FC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| coach days | — | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1469.14 | 1450.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.60 | -18.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | — |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.09 | -1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 26.60 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |