← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Jan 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Orleans win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Clermont −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Florent Ogier · Clermont |
| 38' | 🟨 | Aurelien Scheidler · Orleans |
| 43' | 🟨 | Gauthier Pinaud · Orleans |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Adrian Grbić · Clermont |
| 55' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Clermont |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Aurelien Scheidler · Orleans |
| 62' | 🟨 | Alioune Ba · Orleans |
| 76' | 🟨 | Yohan Mollo · Orleans |
| 79' | ⚽ | Jason Berthomier · Clermont |
| 80' | 🟥 | Cédric Cambon · Orleans |
| 84' | ⚽ | Jason Berthomier |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand) |
| 85' | 🟥 | Thomas Renault · Orleans |
| coach days | 2770.00 | 2770.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1538.38 | 1403.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.05 | -1.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.61 |
| league points | 40.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 26.97 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |