← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Jan 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Niort win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Niort −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
| 12' | 🟨 | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
| 39' | 🟨 | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
| 39' | 🟥 | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Romain Grange · Chateauroux |
| 54' | 🟨 | Brahima Doukansy · Niort |
| 61' | 🟨 | Chaker Alhadhur · Chateauroux |
| 88' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux) |
| coach days | 2306.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1418.40 | 1375.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.97 | -34.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -1.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.08 | 23.64 |
| state index | -0.37 | -1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |