← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Jan 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruddy Buquet, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 60% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
| Nancy win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −1 | 54% | 1.80 |
| FC Lorient −1 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Sylvain Marveaux · FC Lorient |
| 62' | 🟨 | Baptiste Valette · Nancy |
| 72' | 🟨 | Serge N'Guessan · Nancy |
| 74' | ⚽ | Herve Lybohy · Nancy |
| 76' | 🟨 | Saliou Ciss · Nancy |
| 90' | ⚽ | Umut Bozok · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir (Lorient) |
| coach days | 268.00 | 207.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1558.39 | 1491.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.92 | 19.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.82 |
| league points | 42.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 10.97 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 28.70 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |