← Ligue 2 2019 · Mon, Jan 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Caen win | 16% | 6.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| FC Lorient −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Pi · Caen |
| 42' | 🟥 | Anthony Weber · Caen |
| 49' | 🟨 | Laurent Abergel · FC Lorient |
| 69' | ⚽ | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 72' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir (Lorient) |
| coach days | 257.00 | 104.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1552.31 | 1468.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.10 | -2.91 |
| eye test v1 | 1.02 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 39.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 24.03 | 24.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 26.08 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |