← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Jan 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Chateauroux win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Rodez −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Remi Mulumba · Chateauroux |
| 14' | ⚽ | Ylyas Chouaref · Chateauroux |
| 26' | 🟥 | Aurelien Tertereau · Rodez |
| 27' | 🟨 | Nama Fofana · Chateauroux |
| 42' | 🟨 | Cheick Diarra · Chateauroux |
| 45' | 🟨 | Leo Leroy · Chateauroux |
| 59' | ⚽ | Ugo Bonnet · Rodez |
| 82' | 🟨 | Joris Chougrani · Rodez |
| 85' | 🟨 | Romain Grange · Chateauroux |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alexis Goncalves Pereira · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez) |
| coach days | 1654.00 | 2292.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1444.92 | 1405.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.22 | -29.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 25.34 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |