← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Jan 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Le Mans FC win | 31% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| AJ Auxerre +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Carlens Arcus · AJ Auxerre |
| 25' | 🟨 | Stéphane Diarra · Le Mans FC |
| 30' | 🟨 | Tom Duponchelle · Le Mans FC |
| 35' | ⚽ | Dejan Sorgic · AJ Auxerre |
| 69' | 🟨 | Remy Dugimont · AJ Auxerre |
| 84' | 🟥 | Alexandre Vardin · Le Mans FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alois Confais · Le Mans FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Mans FC | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | MMArena (Le Mans) |
| coach days | 3845.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1384.81 | 1419.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.74 | -18.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| league points | 20.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 20.21 | 21.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.97 | 26.67 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |