← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Jan 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Thierry Bouille, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Niort win | 26% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Niort +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 39' | 🟨 | Thibaut Vion · Niort |
| 42' | 🟨 | Pape Gueye · Le Havre AC |
| 44' | 🟨 | Dylan Louiserre · Niort |
| 49' | 🟨 | Julien Da Costa · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade René Gaillard (Niort) |
| coach days | 9.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1382.85 | 1524.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.92 | 19.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| league points | 17.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 20.21 | 21.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.19 | 25.53 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |