← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Jan 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Cedric Dos Santos, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Valenciennes win | 22% | 4.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Nancy −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Lilian Brassier · Valenciennes |
| 34' | ⚽ | Makhtar Gueye · Nancy |
| 37' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 66' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 67' | 🟨 | Kenny Rocha Santos · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot (Tomblaine) |
| coach days | 193.00 | 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1483.56 | 1471.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.15 | 61.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.60 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.88 |
| league points | 28.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.58 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.01 | 25.27 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |