← Ligue 2 2019 · Sat, Dec 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Willy Delajod, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 38% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Le Mans FC win | 30% | 3.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Le Mans FC +0 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Mohamed Lamine Diaby · Paris FC |
| 10' | 🟨 | Alois Confais · Le Mans FC |
| 15' | 🟨 | Jérémy Ménez · Paris FC |
| 21' | 🟨 | Yann Boé-Kane · Le Mans FC |
| 49' | 🟨 | Lalaina Nomenjanahary · Paris FC |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Youssef Maziz · Le Mans FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Thomas Dasquet · Le Mans FC |
| 74' | 🟥 | Samuel Yohou · Paris FC |
| 86' | ⚽ | Stéphane Diarra · Le Mans FC |
| 88' | ⚽ | Harisson Manzala · Le Mans FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Sébastien-Charléty (Paris) |
| coach days | 20.00 | 3825.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1461.34 | 1359.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.14 | -1.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.97 | 25.79 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |