← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Dec 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 38% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.95 |
| Nancy win | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| AJ Auxerre −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Quentin Bernard · AJ Auxerre |
| 8' | 🟨 | Kenny Rocha Santos · Nancy |
| 17' | 🟨 | Kenny Rocha Santos · Nancy |
| 17' | 🟥 | Kenny Rocha Santos · Nancy |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jordan Adeoti · AJ Auxerre |
| 76' | 🟨 | Yanis Merdji · AJ Auxerre |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ousmane Cissokho · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps (Auxerre) |
| coach days | 172.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1419.20 | 1483.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.36 | 15.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.84 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| league points | 19.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 28.64 |
| state index | -0.72 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |