← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Dec 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastein Dechepy, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| FC Lorient +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Teddy Chevalier · Valenciennes |
| 17' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 41' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 41' | 🟥 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟥 | Matthieu Saunier · FC Lorient |
| 51' | 🟨 | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 58' | 🟨 | Thomas Fontaine · FC Lorient |
| 83' | ⚽ | Teddy Chevalier · Valenciennes |
| 85' | ⚽ | Teddy Chevalier · Valenciennes |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jimmy Cabot · FC Lorient |
| 88' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes) |
| coach days | 202.00 | 233.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1450.58 | 1572.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.63 | 46.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 1.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.72 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| league points | 27.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 2.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 27.74 |
| state index | 0.19 | 1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |