← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Dec 13, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Thierry Bouille, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Rodez win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Rodez +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 48' | ⚽ | Pierre Bardy · Rodez |
| 62' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 63' | 🟨 | Yohan Roche · Rodez |
| 73' | ⚽ | Adama Mbengue · Caen |
| 75' | ⚽ | Pierre Bardy · Rodez |
| 85' | 🟨 | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez) |
| coach days | 1626.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1444.19 | 1477.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.10 | 15.01 |
| eye test v1 | -1.22 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| league points | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 9.95 | 10.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 27.45 |
| state index | -1.02 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |