← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Dec 13, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Orleans win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Orleans +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Yann Boé-Kane · Le Mans FC |
| 20' | 🟨 | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Le Mans FC |
| 20' | 🟨 | Thomas Renault · Orleans |
| 27' | ⚽ | Thomas Ephestion · Orleans |
| 33' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Perrin · Orleans |
| 49' | 🟨 | Alioune Ba · Orleans |
| 78' | ⚽ | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Le Mans FC |
| 85' | ⚽ | Vincent Crehin · Le Mans FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Vincent Crehin · Le Mans FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Mans FC | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | MMArena (Le Mans) |
| coach days | 3817.00 | 2721.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 4.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1350.28 | 1390.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.62 | -40.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| league points | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 9.95 | 9.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.93 | 25.90 |
| state index | -0.63 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |