← Ligue 2 2019 · Tue, Dec 3, 08:05 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Paris FC win | 30% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Guingamp +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Lalaina Nomenjanahary · Paris FC |
| 23' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jérémy Ménez · Paris FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Samuel Yohou · Paris FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ronny Rodelin · Guingamp |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 62' | ⚽ | Lebogang Phiri · Guingamp |
| 64' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oussama Abdeldjelil · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Sébastien-Charléty (Paris) |
| coach days | 2.00 | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1490.77 | 1494.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.91 | -14.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| league points | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 4.05 | 4.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 26.32 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |