← Ligue 2 2019 · Tue, Dec 3, 08:05 PM UTC · ref: Stephanie Frappart, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux win | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Sochaux win | 31% | 3.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Sochaux +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.44 |
| Over | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Christopher Operi · Chateauroux |
| 41' | ⚽ | Younes Kaabouni · Sochaux |
| 77' | 🟨 | Melvin Sitti · Sochaux |
| 83' | 🟨 | Andrew Jung · Chateauroux |
| 90' | ⚽ | Leo Leroy · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux) |
| coach days | 2254.00 | 367.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1431.53 | 1465.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.13 | 0.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| league points | 17.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 4.05 | 3.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 24.20 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |