← Ligue 2 2019 · Mon, Dec 2, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Johan Hamel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Nancy win | 30% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Nancy +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 35' | 🟨 | Nicholas Gioacchini · Caen |
| 41' | 🟨 | Malaly Dembele · Nancy |
| 50' | 🟨 | Steeve Yago · Caen |
| 60' | ⚽ | Nicholas Gioacchini · Caen |
| 64' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid El Kaoutari · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen) |
| coach days | 62.00 | 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1469.18 | 1485.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.28 | 22.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
| league points | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.03 | 3.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.35 | 27.49 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |