← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Nov 29, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Rodez win | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Le Havre AC +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Ayoub Ouhafsa · Rodez |
| 31' | 🟨 | Amiran Sanaia · Rodez |
| 33' | 🟨 | Ayman Ben Mohamed · Le Havre AC |
| 35' | 🟨 | Valentin Henry · Rodez |
| 39' | 🟨 | Pape Sane · Rodez |
| 46' | ⚽ | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Yohan Roche · Rodez |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 57' | 🟨 | Aurelien Tertereau · Rodez |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Pape Gueye |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez) |
| coach days | 1612.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1464.15 | 1521.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.86 | -3.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 18.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.09 | 24.53 |
| state index | -0.30 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |