← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Nov 29, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Paris FC win | 17% | 5.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Nancy −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Amine Bassi · Nancy |
| 34' | 🟨 | Herve Lybohy · Nancy |
| 35' | 🟨 | Mohamed Lamine Diaby · Paris FC |
| 56' | 🟨 | Axel Bamba · Paris FC |
| 80' | ⚽ | Makhtar Gueye · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot (Tomblaine) |
| coach days | 151.00 | 546.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1471.55 | 1504.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.82 | 10.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.73 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.81 |
| league points | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 27.91 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |