← Ligue 2 2019 · Mon, Nov 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Jeremie Pignard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Guingamp win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Guingamp +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Yacouba Coulibaly · Le Havre AC |
| 53' | ⚽ | Junior Dina Ebimbe · Le Havre AC |
| 60' | ⚽ | Jean-Pascal Fontaine · Le Havre AC |
| 68' | 🟨 | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 69' | ⚽ | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Océane (Le Havre) |
| coach days | 147.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1505.59 | 1512.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.18 | 17.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 17.03 | 16.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.53 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.71 | 26.34 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |