← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Nov 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Olivier Thual, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Ajaccio win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Clermont win | 33% | 2.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Ajaccio +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 3.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Jeremy Choplin · Ajaccio |
| 49' | 🟨 | Vital Nsimba · Clermont |
| 53' | ⚽ | Adrian Grbić · Clermont |
| 60' | 🟨 | Hugo Cuypers · Ajaccio |
| 70' | 🟨 | Florent Ogier · Clermont |
| 89' | 🟨 | Mounaim El Idrissy · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrian Grbić · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade François Coty (Ajaccio) |
| coach days | 144.00 | 2700.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1449.13 | 1498.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.90 | -24.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.70 | 66.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.64 |
| league points | 26.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 13.22 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 1.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.94 | 26.69 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |