← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Nov 8, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Chateauroux win | 26% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Chateauroux −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟥 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 85' | 🟨 | Cheick Diarra · Chateauroux |
| 86' | ⚽ | Cheick Diarra · Chateauroux |
| 87' | 🟨 | Maxime Spano · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟥 | Nicolas Kocik · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟥 | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟥 | Valentin Vanbaleghem · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 3 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes) |
| coach days | 160.00 | 2229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1420.94 | 1422.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.31 | 19.96 |
| eye test v1 | -1.49 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.66 |
| league points | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.25 | 24.52 |
| state index | -0.91 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |