← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Nov 8, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Niort win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient −1 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Niort −1 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ (og) | Quentin Braat · FC Lorient |
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 24' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 29' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sissoko · Niort |
| 33' | ⚽ | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 45' | 🟨 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Niort |
| 52' | 🟨 | Laurent Abergel · FC Lorient |
| 87' | 🟨 | Bryan Passi · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir (Lorient) |
| coach days | 191.00 | 311.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1525.97 | 1408.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.33 | -36.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 71.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.77 |
| league points | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 23.27 |
| state index | -0.50 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |