← Ligue 2 2019 · Mon, Nov 4, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Nancy win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Le Havre AC −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Nancy |
| 37' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid El Kaoutari · Nancy |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 52' | 🟨 | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 61' | 🟨 | Romain Basque · Le Havre AC |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Vagner Dias · Nancy |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ernest Seka · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Océane (Le Havre) |
| coach days | 126.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1523.01 | 1462.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.69 | 31.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.50 |
| league points | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 10.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 24.86 | 27.54 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |