← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Nov 1, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.30 |
| Orleans win | 24% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Orleans −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ (og) | Cédric Cambon · Caen |
| 34' | 🟨 | Vincent Thill · Orleans |
| 37' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 43' | 🟨 | Cédric Cambon · Orleans |
| 64' | 🟨 | Aurelien Scheidler · Orleans |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jessy Pi · Caen |
| 81' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Perrin · Orleans |
| 88' | 🟨 | Steeve Yago · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen) |
| coach days | 31.00 | 2679.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1462.92 | 1431.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.10 | 16.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.80 |
| league points | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 24.91 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |