← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Oct 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Ajaccio win | 24% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Mathieu Coutadeur · Ajaccio |
| 37' | 🟨 | Gedeon Kalulu · Ajaccio |
| 41' | ⚽ | Matteo Tramoni · Ajaccio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Christophe Diedhiou · Sochaux |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Thioune · Sochaux |
| 67' | 🟨 | Adolphe Teikeu · Sochaux |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Cyrille Bayala · Ajaccio |
| 69' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sochaux | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Auguste-Bonal (Montbéliard) |
| coach days | 328.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1485.44 | 1415.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 54.29 | 35.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.34 | 27.20 |
| state index | 0.85 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |