← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Oct 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans win | 44% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Chateauroux win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Chateauroux −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Abdoulkader Thiam · Orleans |
| 39' | 🟨 | Sekou Conde · Chateauroux |
| 40' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Orleans |
| 68' | ⚽ | Yannick M'Bone · Chateauroux |
| 80' | 🟨 | Remi Mulumba · Chateauroux |
| 83' | 🟨 | Joseph Lopy · Orleans |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade de la Source (Orléans) |
| coach days | 2672.00 | 2215.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1433.91 | 1411.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.85 | 1.13 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| league points | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.24 | 26.29 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |