← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Oct 18, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Amaury Delerue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.85 |
| Paris FC win | 29% | 3.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux +0 | 56% | 1.75 |
| Paris FC +0 | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.45 |
| Over | 33% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 20' | 🟨 | Samuel Yohou · Paris FC |
| 24' | 🟨 | Cheick Diarra · Chateauroux |
| 28' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 30' | 🟨 | Romain Grange · Chateauroux |
| 38' | 🟨 | Mohammed Rabiu · Paris FC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 71' | 🟨 | Remi Mulumba · Chateauroux |
| 75' | 🟨 | Richard Steven Sila · Paris FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Garcia · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux) |
| coach days | 2208.00 | 504.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1421.02 | 1494.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -1.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.80 |
| league points | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 26.30 | 28.15 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.71 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |