← Ligue 2 2019 · Mon, Oct 7, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Orleans win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Racing Club de Lens +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Aurelien Scheidler · Orleans |
| 29' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Racing Club de Lens |
| 29' | ⚽ | Joseph Lopy · Orleans |
| 63' | ⚽ | Florian Sotoca · Racing Club de Lens |
| 66' | ⚽ | Aleksandar Radovanović · Racing Club de Lens |
| 72' | 🟨 | Joseph Lopy · Orleans |
| 79' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Racing Club de Lens |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Banza · Racing Club de Lens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | Racing Club de Lens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade de la Source (Orléans) |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 2654.00 | 524.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1448.00 | 1536.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.60 | 17.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 10.03 | 9.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.18 | 28.39 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |