← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Oct 4, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Valenciennes win | 34% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 33' | 🟨 | Charles Pickel · Grenoble |
| 39' | ⚽ | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 45' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Laurent Dos Santos · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Coulibaly · Grenoble |
| 55' | ⚽ | Willy Semedo · Grenoble |
| 80' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes) |
| coach days | 125.00 | 490.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1444.25 | 1423.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.84 | 18.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| league points | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.90 | 27.31 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |