← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Oct 4, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Rodez win | 23% | 4.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Guingamp −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Bryan Pelé · Guingamp |
| 14' | ⚽ | Pierre Ruffaut · Rodez |
| 34' | 🟨 | David Douline · Rodez |
| 40' | 🟨 | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 42' | ⚽ | Sikou Niakaté · Guingamp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Joris Chougrani · Rodez |
| 78' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 83' | ⚽ | Bryan Pelé · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp) |
| coach days | 95.00 | 1556.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1495.48 | 1483.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.09 | -23.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 50.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.78 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 26.68 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | — |