← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Sep 27, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Chateauroux win | 16% | 6.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Chateauroux −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Chateauroux |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jeremy Cordoval · Chateauroux |
| 52' | 🟨 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Yannick M'Bone · Chateauroux |
| 68' | 🟨 | Remi Mulumba · Chateauroux |
| 69' | 🟥 | Umut Meraş · Le Havre AC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jeremy Cordoval · Chateauroux |
| 69' | 🟥 | Jeremy Cordoval · Chateauroux |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alexis Goncalves Pereira · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Océane (Le Havre) |
| coach days | 88.00 | 2187.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1557.26 | 1403.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.44 | -16.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.90 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | — |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 25.99 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |