← Ligue 2 2019 · Sat, Sep 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Johan Hamel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Caen win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Caen +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.45 |
| Over | 33% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Steeve Yago · Caen |
| 23' | 🟨 | Anthony Weber · Caen |
| 29' | ⚽ (og) | Jonathan Rivierez · Racing Club de Lens |
| 35' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Racing Club de Lens |
| 40' | 🟨 | Baissama Sankoh · Caen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jessy Pi · Caen |
| 83' | ⚽ | Simon Banza · Racing Club de Lens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Racing Club de Lens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen) |
| coach days | 477.00 | 508.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1473.02 | 1513.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.94 | -34.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| league points | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 4.76 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.52 | 27.74 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |