← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Sep 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Cedric Dos Santos, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ajaccio win | 30% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Le Mans FC −0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Ajaccio |
| 47' | ⚽ | Stéphane Diarra · Le Mans FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jeremy Choplin · Ajaccio |
| 58' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 60' | 🟨 | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Le Mans FC |
| 63' | ⚽ | Matteo Tramoni · Ajaccio |
| 66' | ⚽ | Stéphane Diarra · Le Mans FC |
| 68' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Ajaccio |
| 85' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pierre Lemonnier · Le Mans FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Mans FC | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | MMArena (Le Mans) |
| coach days | 3733.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.01 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1352.13 | 1378.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.59 | 5.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.57 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| league points | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.71 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 27.84 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |