← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Sep 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
| Niort win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sissoko · Niort |
| 20' | 🟨 | Bryan Passi · Niort |
| 29' | 🟨 | Julien Da Costa · Niort |
| 38' | 🟨 | Julien Da Costa · Niort |
| 38' | 🟥 | Julien Da Costa · Niort |
| 40' | ⚽ | Teddy Chevalier · Valenciennes |
| 49' | 🟨 | Lilian Brassier · Valenciennes |
| 54' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Bryan Passi · Niort |
| 81' | 🟥 | Bryan Passi · Niort |
| 87' | 🟨 | Valentin Jacob |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.40 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes) |
| coach days | 111.00 | 262.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1461.69 | 1442.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.56 | 28.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.87 | 0.80 |
| league points | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.58 | 24.88 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |