← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Sep 13, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Paris FC win | 16% | 6.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Le Havre AC −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Mohammed Rabiu · Paris FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mohammed Rabiu · Paris FC |
| 45' | 🟥 | Mohammed Rabiu · Paris FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Pape Gueye · Le Havre AC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Felipe Saad · Paris FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Pape Gueye · Le Havre AC |
| 85' | 🟥 | Pape Gueye · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Océane (Le Havre) |
| coach days | 74.00 | 469.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1563.35 | 1490.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 73.65 | -61.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.30 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 11.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.62 | — |
| season ppg | 2.43 | 0.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.53 | 28.75 |
| state index | 0.91 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |