← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Sep 13, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Orleans win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Orleans −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Jérémy Corinus · Ajaccio |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mathieu Coutadeur · Ajaccio |
| 44' | 🟨 | Maxime D'Arpino · Orleans |
| 49' | 🟨 | Cédric Cambon · Orleans |
| 89' | 🟨 | Alioune Ba · Orleans |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade François Coty (Ajaccio) |
| coach days | 74.00 | 2630.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1379.37 | 1412.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.18 | -32.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.47 | 24.99 |
| state index | -0.27 | -1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |