← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Sep 13, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Nancy win | 22% | 4.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Guingamp −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 10' | ⚽ | Makhtar Gueye · Nancy |
| 34' | 🟨 | Amine Bassi · Nancy |
| 39' | 🟨 | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Guingamp |
| 71' | 🟨 | Vagner Dias · Nancy |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ronny Rodelin · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp) |
| coach days | 74.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1506.85 | 1427.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.95 | -6.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| league points | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 13.21 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.69 | 25.55 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |