← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Aug 23, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 39% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Orleans win | 30% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Rodez −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Joris Chougrani · Rodez |
| 16' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Perrin · Orleans |
| 18' | 🟨 | Tidiane Keita · Orleans |
| 41' | 🟨 | Hicham Benkaid · Orleans |
| 45' | 🟨 | Aurelien Tertereau · Rodez |
| 52' | 🟨 | David Douline · Rodez |
| 60' | ⚽ | Pierre Ruffaut · Rodez |
| 78' | ⚽ | Hicham Benkaid · Orleans |
| 80' | 🟨 | Aurelien Tertereau · Rodez |
| 80' | 🟥 | Aurelien Tertereau · Rodez |
| 83' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Orleans |
| 84' | 🟨 | Joris Chougrani · Rodez |
| 88' | 🟨 | Yohan Demoncy · Orleans |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ugo Bonnet · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 10 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse) |
| coach days | 1514.00 | 2609.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.48 |
| elo | 1507.48 | 1419.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | — | -35.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.75 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | — | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | — | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | — | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.61 |
| league points | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.75 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.50 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.75 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.69 | 24.99 |
| state index | -0.15 | -1.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | 1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.20 |