← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Aug 23, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 54% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Grenoble win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Le Havre AC −0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 36' | ⚽ | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Charles Pickel · Grenoble |
| 44' | ⚽ | Youssouf M'Changama · Grenoble |
| 48' | 🟨 | Jonathan Tinhan · Grenoble |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jules Sylvestre-Brac · Grenoble |
| 59' | 🟨 | Yves Simon Pambou · Grenoble |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ayman Ben Mohamed · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Océane (Le Havre) |
| coach days | 53.00 | 448.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 3.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1537.58 | 1404.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.76 | 3.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| league points | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.71 | — |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 24.89 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |