← Ligue 2 2019 · Mon, Aug 19, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Jeremy Stinat, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 43% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Guingamp win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Guingamp −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Yeni N'Gbakoto · Guingamp |
| 32' | ⚽ | Lucas Deaux · Guingamp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Quentin Bernard · AJ Auxerre |
| 56' | ⚽ | Yanis Merdji · AJ Auxerre |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jean Marcelin · AJ Auxerre |
| 81' | 🟨 | Felix Eboa Eboa · Guingamp |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Remy Dugimont · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps (Auxerre) |
| coach days | 49.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1408.50 | 1508.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.42 | -14.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| league points | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 10.03 | 10.03 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.16 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.84 | 26.21 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |