← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Aug 16, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Le Mans FC win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Le Mans FC −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Vagner Dias · Nancy |
| 21' | 🟨 | Thomas Dasquet · Le Mans FC |
| 26' | 🟨 | Dorian Bertrand · Nancy |
| 34' | 🟨 | Ernest Seka · Nancy |
| 52' | 🟥 | Baptiste Valette · Nancy |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Vincent Crehin · Le Mans FC |
| 60' | 🟥 | Ernest Seka · Nancy |
| 65' | 🟨 | Souleymane Karamoko · Nancy |
| 78' | 🟨 | Tom Duponchelle · Le Mans FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Martin Sourzac · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟥 | Remy Boissier |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot (Tomblaine) |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Vagner Dias · Nancy |
| coach days | 46.00 | 3698.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1435.94 | 1356.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.69 | -22.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.59 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.67 |
| squad age | 28.27 | 26.69 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |