← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Aug 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Valenciennes win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 34' | 🟨 | Tom Duponchelle · Le Mans FC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 46' | ⚽ | Teddy Chevalier · Valenciennes |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jorris Romil · Valenciennes |
| 89' | ⚽ | Vincent Crehin · Le Mans FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Mans FC | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | MMArena (Le Mans) |
| coach days | 3691.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1366.72 | 1415.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.53 | -0.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -1.37 |
| eye trend v1 | — | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 65.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.50 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.50 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 25.83 | 26.10 |
| state index | -0.99 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |