← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Aug 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastien Dechepy, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Nancy win | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| FC Lorient +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Jimmy Cabot · FC Lorient |
| 37' | 🟨 | Ousmane Cissokho · Nancy |
| 49' | 🟨 | Umut Bozok · FC Lorient |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jérôme Hergault · FC Lorient |
| 58' | ⚽ (og) | Julien Laporte · Nancy |
| 60' | 🟨 | Vincent Muratori · Nancy |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 73' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
| 74' | 🟨 | Matthieu Saunier · FC Lorient |
| 78' | 🟥 | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 81' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot (Tomblaine) |
| coach days | 39.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1435.08 | 1525.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.82 | 38.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.97 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.97 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.77 | 26.98 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |