← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Aug 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Benoît Bastien, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Caen win | 24% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Caen −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 27' | 🟥 | Pape Djibril Diaw · Caen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Baissama Sankoh · Caen |
| 61' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jérémy Corinus · Ajaccio |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jessy Pi · Caen |
| 83' | 🟨 | Matteo Tramoni · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟥 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade François Coty (Ajaccio) |
| coach days | 39.00 | 434.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1373.13 | 1494.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.38 | -13.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | — |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.97 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.82 | 26.79 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |