← Ligue 2 2019 · Mon, Aug 5, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Caen win | 28% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| FC Lorient +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 26' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 26' | 🟨 | Jessy Pi · Caen |
| 32' | 🟨 | Yoël Armougom · Caen |
| 33' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 47' | 🟨 | Matthieu Saunier · FC Lorient |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jonathan Gradit · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vincent Le Goff · FC Lorient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen) |
| coach days | 430.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1506.21 | 1513.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.27 | 23.45 |
| eye test v1 | -1.17 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 10.03 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | 1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.29 | 26.41 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |