← Ligue 2 2019 · Fri, Jul 26, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Benoit Millot, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Ajaccio win | 32% | 3.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ajaccio +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jeremy Choplin · Ajaccio |
| 67' | 🟨 | Johan Cavalli · Ajaccio |
| 67' | 🟨 | Yacouba Coulibaly · Le Havre AC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Benjamin Leroy · Ajaccio |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 74' | 🟨 | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 76' | ⚽ | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 84' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 87' | 🟨 | Yacouba Coulibaly · Le Havre AC |
| 87' | 🟥 | Yacouba Coulibaly · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Himad Abdelli · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade François Coty (Ajaccio) |
| coach days | 25.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1357.98 | 1495.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.42 | -46.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.48 | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.38 | 26.72 |
| state index | -0.78 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.10 | 0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |