← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 28, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen win | 40% | 2.42 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| SV Wehen −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.47 |
| Under | 33% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Stefan Aigner · SV Wehen |
| 12' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · SV Wehen |
| 25' | ⚽ | Leo Østigard · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 32' | ⚽ | Henk Veerman · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 38' | ⚽ | Stefan Aigner · SV Wehen |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) | Phillip Tietz · SV Wehen |
| 66' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · SV Wehen |
| 69' | 🟨 | Finn Ole Becker · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 73' | ⚽ | Henk Veerman · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 23 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 1243.00 | 454.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1364.13 | 1448.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.42 | -17.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 31.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.41 | 25.04 |
| state index | -1.14 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.51 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |