← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 28, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Gräfe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Bielefeld win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 17' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 32' | 🟨 | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Heidenheim |
| 53' | ⚽ | Jonathan Clauss · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 4 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 575.00 | 4684.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1616.42 | 1553.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.98 | 21.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| league points | 65.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 26.59 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |